Arsenal vs Liverpool betting tips: Will Arsenal’s huge ambition of Europe elude them with Liverpool pursuing the illustrious 100 points?


Midweek special as the Premier League Champions travel to the Emirates. With Liverpool looking to become the second team in Premier League history to achieve 100 points in a season, we preview this tie that could end Arsenal’s pursuit of Europe once and for all…

Event Details

Who is playing?

Arsenal vs Liverpool

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 36

What time is Arsenal vs Liverpool? 

20:15 BST, Wednesday 15th July 2020

Where do Arsenal play?

Emirates Stadium, London, England

Where can I watch Arsenal vs Liverpool? 

Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Main Event

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Thoughts on Arsenal vs Liverpool

A classic tie in English football centering around two of the greatest, most successful clubs the country has seen, but this time around with a much distinguished flavour, with many sub-plots seemingly weaving their way through to the spotlight: the absence of supporters will be especially felt on an occasion like, and with both teams dropping points on the weekend they’ll want to avenge their previous results – especially for Arsenal who cannot afford to drop points because if they do they can kiss goodbye their aspirations of playing Thursday night football next year.

Not to mention this is Arteta’s first game against Liverpool in his managerial career, and with him being an ex-Evertonian in his playing days as well as representing the coaching staff of Liverpool’s Premier League rivals City, is there added motivation for a victory midweek? Possibly so, but what is undeniable is that this is very much a seminal week in the career of Mikel Arteta as he faces two of the toughest teams in the entirety of the sport, back to back, meaning in a week’s time Arsenal could go from a potential Europa League finish and FA Cup trophy, to a mid-table finish and no silverware at all.

Examining these two clubs in their current circumstance their present standings completely juxtapose, these two clubs are at extremely different stages of their cycles and in many respects Arsenal as a football club are very much trying to emulate or will be wanting to emulate the journey to prosperity Liverpool have experienced in recent years and their rise to the top is one that, whilst many clubs will have to bite their tongue when admitting this, incredibly endearing and is very much the blueprint of which many clubs including Arsenal and Manchester United: fallen, sleeping giants, will want to replicate.

And so if Arsenal can manage a victory against the Premier League, Champions League and Fifa Club World Cup Champions, it could well be remembered as a seminal moment in what will we be a demanding and arduous journey back to elite status for Arsenal Football Club, and could spur a late but nonetheless frantic push for Europa League football. Liverpool, should they drop further points, after dropping hardly any before it was confirmed they were champions, no mind to Arsenal of all teams, would be a calamity in it’s own right.

Arteta’s Arsenal must respond

Not only will Arsenal be needing a response but Arteta will look for one following the defeat to North London rivals Tottenham Hotspur at the weekend. The result means not only do Arsenal’s Europe League ambitions hang on by a thread, but it has increased the pressure to perform on Wednesday.

And it doesn’t look as if the Gunner’s have much chance either having taken just two points from a possible 21 in games against the current top four. Though they can take some hope from their home form this season: losing only three times at the Emirates, 1.76 points per game (PPG), higher than their PPG overall and away from home, with the Gunners also scoring more goals per game at home: 1.82.

However they won’t want to hear that at home their xG against (expected goals) is actually higher xG for at home, 1.69 compared to 1.54, meaning they’re most susceptible to conceding a goal at home than they are to scoring a goal at home – worrying considering the Premier League Champions are next to come to town.

Although Arsenal are undefeated in twenty-one of their last twenty-three home matches against Liverpool in all competitions, with one eye presumably on their bout on Saturday against City in the FA Cup semi-finals, you feel as if Arsenal are in for a tough night at the Emirates, and the absence of their supporters will be wholly felt.

Jurgen gearing for the jugular?

It was an uncharacteristic performance for Liverpool at the weekend with an even rarer result, ironic considering what’s made the Premier League Champions Champions this season is their sometimes unexplainable willingness and desire to scrape out a victory despite the tense showing.

It was unlike Liverpool to not hit either bottom corner with a shot, it was all a bit too easy for Nick Pope on Saturday as the shot map shows, though he did make some great saves. In fact, it was just as unusual to see Jurgen’s side unable to score a second, especially considering the Reds have scored 2.61 goals per home match this season and have an xG (expected goals) at home of 2.09, not to mention that a 2-1 scoreline in favour of Liverpool has been the most prevalent score in their Premier League season, amounting to over a quarter (25.7%) of their Premier League games with that being the end score in nine of their matches played thus far.

The Premier League Champions have only won one of their last four away league games and have failed to score in three of those. Considering the Reds must win their last three games in order to achieve the hundred point haul, plus the fact Liverpool have scored at least three goals in eight of their last nine matches against Arsenal in all competitions and are undefeated in their last ten matches against the Gunners in all competitions – you feel as if Arsenal will be put to the sword this week, it’s just a question of who can hit the hardest: Liverpool or City?

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Head-to-Head

Form

Arsenal recent matches:

  • Tottenham (a) 2-1 defeat
  • Leicester (h) 1-1 draw
  • Wolves (a) 0-2 win
  • Norwich City (h) 4-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 1-2 win

Liverpool recent matches:

  • Burnley (h) 1-1 draw
  • Brighton (a) 1-3 win
  • Aston Villa (h) 2-0 win
  • Man City (a) 4-0 defeat
  • Crystal Palace (h) 4-0 win

Top contributors

Arsenal top contributors: 

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Forward)22 Premier League goal involvements: 20 goals + 2 assists – After failing to score on the weekend, Aubameyang now trails three goals behind Jamie Vardy in the Golden Boot race.
  • Alexandre Lacazette (Forward)12 Premier League goal involvements: 9 goals + 3 assists – two goals in three games for the Frenchman including the bullet strike in the North London Derby that gave his side the lead for all of three minutes.

Liverpool top contributors: 

  • Mo Salah (Forward)28 Premier League goal involvements: 19 goals + 9 assists – The Egyptian needs just one assist to become the third Premier League player this season to achieve double figures in both goals and assists, following Kevin De Bruyne and Son Heung-min.
  • Sadio Mane (Forward): 23 Premier League goal involvements: 16 goals + 7 assists – The Senegalese superstar, who scored his first Liverpool goal on his debut, against Arsenal, has four goals and one assist in seven games against the Gunners as a Red.

Previous Meetings

30th October 2019 LIV 5-5 ARS (Pens) League cup
24th August 2019 LIV 3-1 ARS Premier League
29th December 2018 LIV 5-1 ARS Premier League
3rd November 2018 ARS 1-1 LIV Premier League
22nd December 2017 ARS 3-3 LIV Premier League

Aman’s Betting Tips

Arsenal Liverpool Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Tuesday 14th July) and subject to change.

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Spurs vs Arsenal betting tips: Has the epic North London Derby ever been so mediocre?


Super Sunday as Spurs host Arsenal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the North London derby. We preview this tie that has a lot more riding on it than just bragging rights…

Event Details

Who is playing?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 35

What time is Spurs vs Arsenal? 

16:30 BST, Sunday 12th July 2020.

Where do Spurs play?

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Tottenham, London.

Where can I watch Spurs vs Arsenal? 

Sky Sports PL / Sky Sports Main Event

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Thoughts on Spurs vs Arsenal

2020 has thrown many, many surprises, but have we finally found a situation where Arsenal fans could get St Totteringham’s day, but they’ll be too embarrassed to celebrate it?

They have played 34 games in the 2019/20 Premier League season and North London occupy the bottom area of the top half of the table, with Arsenal sitting 8th on 50 points, and Tottenham below in 9th one point behind.

Astonishing, especially since just a year ago North London were headlining Europe; Arsenal in their first ever Europa league final and Tottenham going one better appearing in their first ever Champions League final. Though neither half of North London walked away with silverware back then, it still symbolised their ability to compete amongst the elite, ironic considering, with no disrespect to Wolves and Sheffield United whose campaigns this season have been an inspiration and one in which both North London clubs should take a lot from, the teams who North London are at risk of losing the Europa spots to, both occupied the 2nd tier of England just two seasons ago.

They’ll banter each other ’til the end of time but the reality is, it’s been a horror show this season north of the river, with under-performing the only consistence in either club’s season. And that sets us up beautifully for Sunday, a super Sunday North London derby where both team’s seasons rest on this one fixture. Make or break.

Stunningly scandalous Spurs

My job here is to place words of the English language in such a way that they then form sentences, sentences which best describe the situation I’m attempting to explain, to give you, the reader, the ability to paint a picture and draw your own conclusions. And yet, there are no amount of words I could conjure that will better epitomise the lack of soul and wretched negativity that engulfs the Spurs squad, more, than the damning statistic that Tottenham have had fewer shots on target in July than West Ham’s defensive midfielder Tomas Soucek, in fact: Soucek was also Spurs’ joint-top scorer in June.

They’re in dire need of a much-needed lift, and lucky enough for Spurs there is no better place to make your mark and avenge what has been an awful season, than at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium against bitter rivals, Arsenal. Since the restart, Spurs have only lost once in a shock defeat to Sheffield United. Aside from that game, all of their other matches have seen Under 2.5 goals scored. However, their last outing against Bournemouth, a side in disarray, exposed a lot of what is wrong about that squad.

The visitors recorded 0 shots on target and were lucky to walk away with a point. They have won just 38% of their league games this season, and nearly two out of three matches have featured BTTS (65%).

Arsenal in ascendance? 

Credit where credit is due, when Arsenal chucked away two points at The AMEX courtesy of Neal Maupay and the Seagulls, you could hear the unison chuckle of ‘same old Arsenal’. But the Gunners have picked up ten points out of twelve and have consequently kept their European ambitions alive.

Arsenal, who’ll be without Eddie Nketiah following the failed red card appeal, will have to be on song if they want beat their rivals and will have to show a resilience in their performance that for far too long has a stick to beat the club with. A lack of ‘cojones’ as one Troy Deeney eloquently put, but nonetheless true, as you can bet your life savings Jose Mourinho will relish the role as the antagonist and will set his team up to defend with bodies behind the ball, looking to counter.

And with that comes added pressure and means Arsenal will have to perform so they could not do this season – the statistics are disturbing: their xG (expected goals) against, 1.76, is higher than their xG for (1.37), in fact the Gunners have averaged more shots off target per match this season than they have on target, 6.15 compared to 4.76, and what’s even less encouraging, is that in the fourteen games they’ve played against the teams currently 9th and above, they’ve only won twice. They must bring the game to the opposition, whether they can (and it looks like they can’t), we must wait and find out.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Spurs recent matches:

  • Bournemouth (a) 0-0 draw
  • Everton (h) 1-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 3-1 defeat
  • West Ham (h) 2-0 win
  • Manchester United (h) 1-1 draw

Arsenal recent matches:

  • Leicester (h) 1-1 draw
  • Wolves (a) 0-2 win
  • Norwich City (h) 4-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 1-2 win
  • Southampton (a) 0-2 win

Top contributors

Spurs top contributors: 

  • Son Heung-min (Midfielder): 18 Premier League goal involvements: 9 goals + 9 assists –The South Korean hasn’t been able to score since the restart but has provided two assists, with one coming against London rivals West Ham and the other against the Blades in Sheffield United’s 3-1 victory.
  • Harry Kane (Forward): 15 Premier League goal involvements: 13 goals + 2 assists – the Englishman hasn’t been able to hit the same heights compared to previous campaigns, in fact, worryingly both his shots per 90, at 2.82, and xG (expected goals) per 90 at 0.42, are the lowest they’ve been since 2014/15.

Arsenal top contributors: 

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Forward): 22 Premier League goal involvements: 20 goals + 2 assists – Arsenal’s talisman is in contention to win a successive Premier League Golden Boot sitting 2nd in the top scorer’s list, two goals behind Jamie Vardy. The former Dortmund striker is the first Arsenal player to score 20+ Premier League goals in consecutive seasons since Thierry Henry in 2005/06.
  • Nicolas Pepe (Midfielder): 11 Premier League goal involvements: 5 goals + 6 assists – a debut campaign which has underwhelmed many considering his impressive return of 33 goals involvements for Lille last year, though in double the minutes.

Previous Meetings

1st September 2019  ARS 2-2 TOT Premier League
2nd March 2019 TOT 1-1 ARS Premier League
19th December 2018 ARS 0-2 TOT League Cup
2nd December 2018 ARS 4-2 TOT Premier League
10th February 2018 TOT 1-0 ARS Premier League

Aman’s Betting Tip

Spurs Arsenal Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Friday 10th July) and subject to change.

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Juventus vs Atalanta betting tips: Thrilling clash as champions Juve face free-scoring Atalanta!


Showstopper of a Saturday with the best teams in Italy going head to head as Juventus take on Atalanta at the Allianz Stadium. We preview this contest that could extend The Old Lady’s lead in the league.

Event Details

Who is playing?

Juventus vs Atalanta

What competition is it?

Serie A Matchweek 32

What time is Juventus vs Atalanta? 

20:45 BST Saturday 11th July 2020.

Where do Juventus play?

Allianz Stadium, Turin.

Where can I watch Juventus vs Atalanta? 

Premier Sports

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Thoughts on Juventus vs Atalanta 

Just three weeks ago when we previewed the resumption, we were strapping in for what looked to be a riveting race both for the title and for top four. Juventus sat just one point ahead in pole position, and Atalanta were sitting fourth, wary of Roma below them just three points behind.

Fast forward and the landscape in Serie A has considerably changed and is emblematic of the cyclical nature of football and the significance factors like rhythm and form can have in the sport and just how severe the way it can derail a team’s season. The Old Lady have extended their lead at summit to seven points, and Atalanta, who were once six points behind Inter Milan, now sit just two points behind 2nd place and former title challengers, Lazio.

It prompts us for a salivating tie between two of the best teams in Italy, a fixture that might surmise the season. In the reverse fixture Juventus won 3-1 at Gewiss Stadium, and should Juve win on Saturday it’ll be pretty much game over for Lazio and their pursuit of their first Serie A trophy since the turn of the century. Should Atalanta win, who knows? It could be the catalyst in a downward spiral of form for Sarri’s men, especially having lost to Ibrahimovic’s Milan, and could be a huge helping hand for Lazio and could prolong this race just that little longer.

Jaded Juventus?    

As we enter the last stretch, Juventus are winning the race to become the first team in history to win nine consecutive titles in one of Europe’s top five leagues.

Maurizio Sarri, who last year experienced silverware for the first time in his career following his 4-1 win with Chelsea against Arsenal in the Europa League final, has the chance to double his trophy cabinet in his debut season with the Bianconeri. Juve have won 77% of their Serie A games this season, the best percentage in the division, and have conceded just 30 goals, making them the best defence in the league conceding three fewer than defensively renowned Antonio Conte and his Inter Milan side.

Though we should hand them enormous credit for their consistency this season, the ultimate factor which separated them and the Eagles, with Lazio losing three of their five since the restart, the pressure will wholly be placed upon Juventus this Saturday, and rightly so. Ibrahimovic and AC Milan dismantled Juve, who themselves are in a great vain of form, so the Old Lady need to redeem themselves with there being no excuses conceding four goals to a team that has only averaged 1.39 goals a game this season.

Especially worrying considering they now travel to one of the most on-fire teams and that means Saturday will be a test of their character and will prove whether they are deserving Champions, for if they can fend off a furiously frantic and fluid Atalanta in their pomp, then they should raise their crown high in to the sky as champions of one of the closest and most exciting title races the league has experienced for a couple of years.

A force to be reckoned with…

Since the appointment of Gian Piero Gasperini as manager in 2016, Atalanta have rocketed into ascendancy as Europe’s most flavourful and underrated club. His implementation of a high-risk hyper offensive style has culminated in the transformation of a middling team in mid-table mediocrity, to one of the most exciting teams on the continent.

And the 2019/20 season is no better demonstration of such, with the common theme for this season being that Atalanta are not afraid of dancing with the big boys. The Nerazzurri have been phenomenally ferocious in front goal this season; thirty-one games played so far in Serie A and they lead the league as top goalscorers with 85, eighteen in front of next best Lazio, and is a feat only bested amongst Europe’s top five leagues by Manchester City on 86 (34 games played), and Bayern Munich on 100 (34 games played).

But arguably more impressive, and further evidence of their prolific potency, is their xG for (expected goals) of 2.55 across the entire season in Serie A. That may not seem so impressive but if I tell you that none of Europe’s elite better that number, what does that tell you? Liverpool, City, Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern and Dortmund and PSG boast an xG in their respective leagues, lower than Atalanta’s.

Having won every game since the resumption, the Orobici are in esteemed company alongside Real Madrid as the most in-form team in Europe, winning all six of their Serie A matches since the restart, and should they on Saturday place a spanner in the works of Juve’s eventual celebrations of what will be (should they win the title) their 36th Scudetto, it will epitomise the rise to prominence of this incredible Atalanta outfit.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Juventus recent matches:

  • Milan (a) 4-2 defeat
  • Torino (h) 4-1 win
  • Genoa (a) 1-3 win
  • Lecce (h) 4-0 win
  • Bologna (a) 0-2 win

Atalanta recent matches:

  • Sampdoria (h) 2-0 win
  • Cagliari (a) 0-1 win
  • Napoli (h) 2-0 win
  • Udinese (a) 2-3 win
  • Lazio (h) 3-2 win

Top contributors

Juventus top contributors: 

  • Cristiano Ronaldo (Forward): 31 Serie A goal involvements: 26 goals + 5 assists – He just does not slow down; picking up exactly where he left off, scoring in every appearance since the resumption, in fact in 2020 alone, the 5 time Ballon D’Or winner has 21 goal involvements.
  • Paulo Dybala (Forward): 16 Serie A goal involvements: 11 goals + 5 assists – the little Argentine who looked Tottenham bound at the beginning of the season, has been on fire since the restart, scoring in all of his Serie A appearances.

Atalanta top contributors:

  • Alejandro Gómez (Midfielder) 21 goal involvements: 6 goals + 15 assists – 4 assists in six Serie A appearances for the skipper since the resumption.
  • Josip Ilicic (Forward): 20 Serie A goal involvements: 15 goals + 5 assists – The Slovenian in what had been a sensational campaign pre-lockdown could not muster a full 90 minutes yet since the league’s restart.

Previous Meetings

23rd November 2019  ATA 1-3 JUV Serie A
19th May 2019 JUV 1-1 ATA Serie A
30th January 2019 ATA 3-0 JUV Coppa Italia
26th December 2018 ATA 2-2 JUV Serie A
14th March 2018 JUV 2-0 ATA Serie A

Aman’s Betting Tip

Juve Atalanta Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Thursday 9th July) and subject to change.

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DFB Pokal Final betting tips: Battle in Berlin between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich as Bosz looks to break 27-year drought!


Saturday sees a battle in Berlin as Bayer Leverkusen take on Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich in the DFB Pokal Final. We preview this contest that could see the Bavarians celebrate a successive double.

Event Details

Who is playing?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

What competition is it?

DFB Pokal Final

What time is the DFB Pokal Final? 

19:00 BST, Saturday 4th July 2020.

Where is the DFB Pokal Final being held? 

Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany (home of Hertha BSC & German National Team)

Where can I watch the DFB Pokal Final? 

BT Sport 1

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Thoughts on Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

German football being the first of the major European leagues to return, now becomes the first campaign to finish. It is still all the play for in the Final of the DFB Pokal, however. On Saturday, Bayer Leverkusen take on Bayern Munich in the 77th annual DFB Pokal Final, some eighty-five years ago since its formation.

A mouthwatering tie that pips perennial underachievers Bayer Leverkusen, who missed out on Champions League but could make amends by lifting their first trophy in twenty-seven years (incidentally their last piece of silverware being this very trophy) against current holders and nineteen time winners (most in the competition), not to mention Bundesliga Champions, Bayern Munich.

Bundesliga Return Stats: A simple breakdown of the 82 games played!

Bosz’s Bayer bruising

Saturday’s final at Hertha’s home against the league Champions and current holders of the DFB Pokal proves to be a difficult one for Die Werkself, especially considering Leverkusen’s last visit to the Olympiastadion ended in a 2-0 defeat, plus their last outing against the Bundesliga Champions ended in defeat as well. The tie looks awfully tough, particularly because Leverkusen’s xG for (expected goals), 1.12, is lower than their xG against, 1.16. Bayer will have to be on song if they want to end the campaign on a high, as facing a Bayern on cloud-nine in this vein of form, is no mean feat.

Peter Bosz’s men will rightly reel in disappointment after missing out on Champions League, finishing 5th, two points behind Marco Rose’s Mönchengladbach in 4th. It’s hugely upsetting that a team engulfed with a litany of promising superstars: Kai Havertz, Moussa Diaby, Leon Bailey, Exequiel Palacios and Edmond Tapsoba, that these young talents won’t be testing themselves in Europe’s most prestigious competition next season.

You feel as if qualification to the grandest stage of them all was the next step and one that would solidify the development and progression of this Leverkusen side under the former Ajax manager Peter Bosz. But with every cloud there’s a silver lining: they can approach this game with a nothing-to-lose mentality, as a one off that gives them a second chance to confirm their credentials as a top tier Bundesliga outfit. They can use their failure and frustration to concoct a performance that could destroy Bayern’s chance at retaining the double.

Hans-Dieter double? 

If he hasn’t already, Hansi Flick has the chance to write himself into Bayern folklore and cement himself as a legend in Bavaria. The former Munich midfielder now manager could earn Bayern yet another domestic double on Saturday with a win the DFB Pokal Final.

Since they announced on December 22nd that the German would remain at the helm for the entire season, Bayern have picked up a sensational 49 out of possible 51 points in the Bundesliga. 2.88 PPG (points per game), higher than their PPG across the entire season (2.41). In fact, in the seventeen Bundesliga games since that announcement, Bayern have scored 54 in total, 3.18 GPG (goals per game) and conceded just 0.58 a game, with The Reds keeping a clean sheet in nine of those seventeen and scoring four on four occasions, five on three occasions, and six on one occasion.

Utter domination and Flick wholly deserves the contract lasting until 2023. At one point this season it really looked as if we would finally see Bayern relinquish their stranglehold over the Bundesliga, with both Borussias (Dortmund and Mönchengladbach) looking threatening, not to mention the effervescent Leipzig constantly impressing. The fact Bayern sit as Champions thirteen points clear just shows how fantastic Flick has been.

Peers across Europe have the highest respect for Bayern, and are widely renowned as one of the few teams amongst the upper echelon of the sport who conduct themselves strategically, with the signings of Leroy Sane for £10 million more than Alex Iwobi to Everton and Tangy Kouassi from PSG on a free emphasising such, but, their best signing may just come in the form of a 55-year-old former assistant manager: Hans-Dieter Flick.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Bayer Leverkusen recent matches:

  • Mainz (h) 1-0 win
  • Hertha Berlin (a) 2-0 defeat
  • FC Koln (h) 3-1 win
  • Schalke (a) 1-1 draw
  • Saarbrucken (a) 0-3 win

Bayern Munich recent matches:

  • Wolfsburg (a) 0-4 win
  • SC Freiburg (h) 3-1 win
  • Werder Bremen (a) 0-1 win
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach (h) 2-1 win
  • Eintracht Frankfurt (h) 2-1 win

Top contributors

Bayer Leverkusen top contributors: 

  • Kai Havertz (Midfielder): 18 Bundesliga goal involvements: 12 goals + 6 assists – 6 goals and a solitary assist in 8 appearances since the restart for German wonderkid.
  • Kevin Volland (Forward): 17 Bundesliga goal involvements: 10 goals + 7 assists – earned his side the victory against Mainz bagging the winner.

Bayern Munich top contributors:

  • Robert Lewandowski (Forward): 38 Bundesliga goal involvements: 34 goals + 4 assists – the prolific Pole became the first player in Bundesliga history to win three consecutive Torjägerkanone awards (Bundesliga top goal scorer).
  • Thomas Müller (Midfielder): 29 Bundesliga goal involvements: 8 goals + 21 assists – the first player in Bundesliga history to record 21 assists in a season, breaking Kevin De Bruyne’s record at Wolfsburg (20).

Previous Meetings

6th June 2020 BAY 2-4 FCB  Bundesliga
3oth November 2019 FCB 1-2 BAY Bundesliga
2nd February 2019  BAY 3-1 FCB Bundesliga
15th September 2018 FCB 3-1 BAY Bundesliga
17th April 2018 BAY 2-6 FCB  DFB Pokal

Aman’s Betting Tip

Leverkusen Munich Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Friday 3rd July) and subject to change.

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Man City vs Liverpool betting tips: Guardiola’s guard of honour, graceful or graceless?


Not our typical Thursday night football as two teams of a significantly higher standard than Europa League take the stage. We preview this exciting contest between Man City and Liverpool at the Etihad Stadium.

Event Details

Who is playing?

Manchester City vs Liverpool

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 32

What time is Man City vs Liverpool? 

20:15 BST, Thursday 2nd July 2020.

Where do Man City play?

Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

Where can I watch Man City vs Liverpool? 

Sky Sports PL/ Sky Sports Main Event

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Thoughts on Man City vs Liverpool

In peculiar circumstances, arguably the best fixture in world football has just gotten even tastier.

City have pipped the Scousers to the title on multiple occasions, the Steven Gerrard slip, the 98 points last year, and yet here we are, in the ‘new-normal’, with Liverpool finally the Premier League Champions, travelling down to the Etihad to receive a guard of honour from arguably one of the best teams in Premier League history assembled by arguably the best manager of the last two decades.

And yet despite all of that the Spaniard has seen his German competitor moonwalk past his oil-rich club and it prompts us perfectly for Thursday, where City will battle to save face and go out fighting, and Liverpool will be right up for rubbing it in their faces, a match that picks up another element: unfortunately for us, taking place behind closed doors.

It all culminates in a game that on Thursday night, could go straight into the history books. There’s been some stunners previously in this contest in recent years: the 5-0 thrashing with the red card challenge on Ederson, the 4-3 ending City’s unbeaten run, the 3-0 bamboozling at Anfield in the Champions League quarter-finals; all exhilarating 90 minutes of football, but none have the same flavour and edge as this one.

It wouldn’t be silly to say that the rivalry between these two juggernauts, one that’s been ferociously brewing for some time now, is a modern era rivalry that could easily usurp many. It’s a rivalry borne out of the Premier League era that, unlike most has nothing to do with locality, but is instead centred around unadulterated football: and is a perfect metaphor for the modern game.

Winning even when they’re not winning?  

The sport in its entirety is one of romance and storytelling, and the showstopper this season will rightly spotlight Liverpool’s triumph, and will overshadow most, yet – Man City still have their chance for a treble this season.

The Citizens pre-Project Restart had beaten Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final 2-1, and with the Champions League set for Lisbon, plus their victory on Tyneside on Sunday, Man City may not need to bury their head in the sand, as they could feasibly end this season: Carabao Cup, FA Cup, and Champions League winners…

But on Thursday, the treble is not what will be on Guardiola’s mind, instead he’ll be forcing his players to step-up, take ownership of their season, and prove they’re worthy competitors.

30 years of pain… 

Let’s talk about what made the Champions champions, shall we? The Reds have been near enough faultless, losing just one and drawing two of their thirty-one games played, meaning the reds have won a staggering 90% of their matches, a whole 25% better than the second best in the league: Man City.

This season Liverpool have scored 2.26 goals a game and have conceded just 0.68 a game, in fact the Reds have failed to score in 6% of their league games this season, and have kept a clean sheet in 45% of those games – emphasising exactly why this Liverpool side have broken the record for most games spare when crowned Champions.

But maybe the best statistic of this historic victory, is that 22% of all their Premier League goals have come between 31′-45′ and 76′-90′ minutes respectively, showing perfectly the relentless intensity of Klopp’s side and just how suffocating and imperious his team are to play.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Man City recent matches:

  • Newcastle (a) 0-2 win
  • Chelsea (a) 2-1 defeat
  • Burnley (h) 5-0 win
  • Arsenal (h) 3-0 win
  • Manchester United (a) 2-0 defeat

Liverpool recent matches:

  • Crystal Palace (h) 4-0 win
  • Everton (a) 0-0 draw
  • Atletico Madrid (h) 2-3 defeat
  • Bournemouth (h) 2-1 win
  • Chelsea (a) 2-0 defeat

Top contributors

Man City top contributors: 

  • Kevin De Bruyne (Midfielder): 26 Premier League goal involvements: 10 goals + 16 assists – 3 goals since the restart.
  • Sergio Aguero (Forward): 19 Premier League goal involvements: 16 goals + 3 assists – presumed he’ll miss the rest of the season following his injury against Burnley.

Liverpool top contributors:

  • Mo Salah (Forward): 24 Premier League goal involvement: 17 goals + 7 assists – a goal and assist in his last outing.
  • Sadio Mane (Forward) – 22 Premier League goal involvements: 15 goals + 7 assists – bagged in his previous appearance.

Previous Meetings

10th November 2019 LIV 3-1 MCI Premier League
4th August 2019 LIV 1-1 MCI (Penalties) Community Shield
3rd January 2019 MCI 2-1 LIV Premier League
7th October 2018 LIV 0-0 MCI Premier League
10th April 2018 MCI 1-2 LIV  Champions League

Aman’s Betting Tip

Manchester City Liverpool Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Wednesday 30th June) and subject to change.

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Chelsea vs Manchester City betting tips: Will Citizens stop Liverpool title win for another game?


Midweek sees Chelsea host Manchester city as Wednesday’s war in West London proves to be a tough task for the hosts. We tip this match that could end with the gap between the Blues and Manchester United lessened as the race for Champions League intensifies. 

Event Details

Who is playing?

Chelsea vs Manchester City

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 31

What time is Chelsea vs Manchester City? 

20:15 BST, Thursday 25th June 2020.

Where do Chelsea play?

Stamford Bridge, Fulham, London.

Where can I watch Chelsea vs Manchester City? 

BT Sport 1

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Thoughts on Chelsea vs Manchester City

A fixture that, lets get it right, would have nowhere near as much standing as it currently does, if not for a certain commodity. Two clubs who have had their fortunes in recent years amplified, ironically, because of fortune.

Two heavyweights of English football and the Premier League go toe-to-toe on Wednesday night in conditions this fixture will have never experienced before, with no crowd in the stadium, Man City in a state of limbo with only the Champions League to play for, and Chelsea still uncertain to finish top four with City’s rivals only five points behind, it prompts us for an exciting game of football midweek.

Chelsea 

Cast your minds back to last summer (albeit it seems forever ago), at the very beginning of the season, and it almost seemed as if Chelsea were slipping by the wayside: they’d been slapped with their transfer ban, Eden Hazard was departing and they had just appointed Frank Lampard to oversee what would be a turbulent journey, one which we all felt would last for at least a couple seasons.

And yet here we are, amidst all of that, with Chelsea currently in the top four, and in the incredible position of being nailed on for top four next season, thanks to their potency in the transfer market already: snatching Timo Werner from under Liverpool’s noses, and signing a primed Hakim Ziyech for a cut price fee. There’s one eye on next season and you feel as if Chelsea want this season to be over as soon as possible.

Nonetheless, a tough task awaits them on Wednesday, facing a machine of a Manchester City side who look as if they never even had a three-month break. Chelsea should be cautious, especially considering their abysmal form against first, second, third and fifth, with The Blues only taking points against Leicester, drawing twice, losing both times to Manchester United and losing to Liverpool and City too.  Also damning, that away from home they average more points per game (1.80), than at Stamford Bridge, where they only average 1.60 PPG, but we must wait and see whether that’ll be a factor on Wednesday behind closed doors.

Man City

No team in Project Restart has looked anywhere close to the level of Manchester City, with the Citizens scoring eight times and conceding zilch in their first two matches; the only team in the league to keep two clean sheets since the restart. A shame, that despite their autonomous meticulousness, they still trail so, so far behind.

It’ll be their first away fixture of Project Restart, whether that will have any effect in the ‘new-normal’, who knows? But Pep will be wary of the fact that the blue side of Manchester have lost all their away games to the top the six, with the King Power the only venue they could pick up three points. In fact, their average number of goals conceded increases away from home from 0.80 to 1.27, as does their xG against (expected goals), increasing from 0.85 to 1.17 away from the Etihad. Something they must correct on Wednesday if they want to keep their glittering form intact.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Chelsea recent matches:

  • Aston Villa (a) 1-2 win
  • Everton (h) 4-0 win
  • Liverpool (h) 2-o win
  • Bournemouth (a) 2-2 draw
  • Bayern Munich (a) 0-3 defeat

Manchester City recent matches:

  • Burnley (h) 5-0 win
  • Arsenal (h) 3-0 win
  • Manchester United (a) 2-0 defeat
  • Sheffield Wednesday (a) 0-1 win
  • Aston Villa (cup final) 1-2 win

Top Scorers

Chelsea top scorers:

  • Tammy Abraham (Forward) – 13 Premier League goals
  • Christian Pulisic (Midfielder) – 6 Premier League goals

Manchester City top scorers:

  • Sergio Aguero (Forward) – 16 Premier League goals
  • Raheem Sterling (Forward) – 12 Premier League goals

Previous Meetings

23rd November 2019 MCI 2-1 CHE Premier League
24th February 2019 CHE 0-0 MCI EFL Cup
10th February 2019 MCI 6-0 CHE Premier League
8th December 2018 CHE 2-0 MCI Premier League
5th August 2018 CHE 0-2 MCI  Community Shield

Aman’s Betting Tip

Chelsea Manchester City Betting Tip

*Odds as of the time of writing (Wednesday 24th June) and subject to change.

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La Liga Matchweek 30: 4 of the best highlights


The La Liga title race intensified at the weekend, as Real returned to the summit accompanied with the customary controversy of VAR, whilst Real Betis renounced manager Rubi. Take a look back at an exhilarating weekend of Spanish top-flight football. 

Stalemate in Seville

It was the first time since 2011 that Sevilla vs Barcelona had finished 0-0, a draw that would have immense ramifications for the Blaugrana, by dropping two points, Quique Setien’s men surrendered the initiative in the title race, and opened the door for a Real Madrid intrusion.

Lionel Messi had scored 36 goals in his 37 previous meetings with Sevilla, in fact on his last visit to the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuan, he scored a hat-trick. But Sevilla stuck to their task well on Friday night and limited the magician to a peripheral role for much of the game.

If Barcelona end up losing the league, it will be because of their mediocre record on the road this season. Since Setien replaced his predecessor Ernesto Valverde, Barca have repeatedly under-performed in enormous games away from the Camp Nou: with defeats at Valencia, Athletic Club (in the cup), Real Madrid, and now this draw.

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Barca slip up first in the title race.

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In fact, their home record is a stark contrast to their abysmal away form: the Catalans have claimed just 22 of 45 points away from home, with only six wins from their fifteen games, as well as five defeats and four draws, compare that to the Camp Nou, where they’ve won 43 of a possible 45 points, with just two dropped in the 0-0 draw against Real Madrid in December.

Worrying, considering half of Barca’s remaining league games are on the road: Celta Vigo, Villarreal, Real Valladolid and Alaves.

Leganes indebted to luscious leveller

In a weekend of football that produced the stunning solo effort courtesy of Valencia’s Goncalo Guedes, his first La Liga goal of the season, you would’ve been hard pressed to find a superior strike.

But, unfortunately for Mallorca they found themselves at the mercy of a marvellous piece of mastery from Real Madrid loanee Oscar Rodriguez, whose missile free-kick in the 86th minute meant the three-points were snatched  away from the home side.

His ninth league goal of the season was the fourth free-kick the Spaniard has scored this campaign, only Lionel Messi has scored as many in La Liga. It ensured his Leganes team did not face defeat to Mallorca, who are two points above Lega and before Friday, were the only other team still to collect a point after the restart.

The result means that Leganés sit 19th, two points behind Real Mallorca in 18th, and if Los Pepineros are to go down, Oscar Rodriguez won’t be short of suitors should Madrid loan him once again.

Triple threat: Real, Ramos & Referees

With Barcelona falling on Friday, it was all set-up for Madrid on Sunday against Sociedad to steal the summit. Real Madrid re-gained leadership of La Liga, but not without controversy.

The eventual 2-1 winners were overshadowed by three contentious decisions going their way at key moments: a penalty on Vinicius; a Real Sociedad goal disallowed for offside because Mikel Merino was in front of Thibaut Courtois, and a Karim Benzema goal having controlled with his chest/shoulder/arm.

The first, the least controversial of the three: Vinicius Jr went down under pressure from Diego Llorente in the box, which allowed Sergio Ramos to step up and slot home from twelve yards, his 68th career league goal, making him the highest goal-scoring defender in the league’s history, pipping notable names including: Ronald Koeman, Fernando Hierro and Roberto Carlos.

It was the decision to rule out a potential Real Sociedad equaliser which turned attention on the officials. Mikel Merino was clearly in an offside position during Adnan Januzaj’s glorious strike, but was deemed to interfere with play, and as fate would have it, salt was rubbed into the wounds of Sociedad – barely a minute later, Benzema scores what would be the winner, after controlling the ball with what he pointed to in his celebration, his shoulder, though many believe it was his arm.

The result means that with eight La Liga games to go, Los Blancos are in the driver’s seat, top of the table, ahead of Barcelona.

Vertigo in Vigo 

A weekend where Vigo had the Midas touch: their performance not only decimated two damning statistics, but they were able to widen the distance between themselves and the drop whilst wholly receiving the full benefits of their risky transfer strategy. A weekend of pure perfection for The Sky Blues.

Going into their contest, Celta were the only team in La Liga who were still to score since the restart and were also the league’s lowest scorers overall. But, by halftime, they corrected all, as they led 4-0 with goals from Jeison Murillo, Iago Aspas and two in two minutes from Rafinha, putting the result beyond any doubt; the brace from the Brazilian earning him ‘player of the week’, according to WhoScored.

The next 45 minutes proved just as fruitful; emergency signing Nolito, signed in replacement for injured back-up goalkeeper Sergio Alvarez, a transfer which raised eyebrows, injected an impressive cameo: scoring a penalty and providing the assist for Santi Mina’s goal which completed Celta’s biggest La Liga win since 1947.

The result means that one, Celta are no longer the division’s lowest goal scorers, 5 goals in-front of the division’s newest lowest goals scorers: Leganes, and two, now 16th on 30 points, four points ahead of Real Mallorca in 18th.

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Serie A return: 4 of the best highlights from Italy’s top flight return


This weekend summoned the long-awaited return of top-flight Italian football with Serie A the final major European league to resume action. Take a look back at the biggest highlights from the weekend’s proceedings.

Deflated start

The first Serie A game in 103 days and five seconds into the Italian League’s restart between Torino and Parma at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, the referee had to call the players back to retake kick off thanks to a deflated ball.

Torino could have had their relegation fears eased if it wasn’t for Andrea Belotti’s penalty miss in the second half:  Torino and Parma shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw as Juraj Kucka equalised for the visitors after Nicolas Nkoulou nodded home the opener.

The flat ball personified what was a ‘flat’ comeback for Italian football and Torino specially, who after the game needlessly make headlines and rightfully drew criticism for posting a photo of Nkoulou kneeling before Belotti with the hashtag #BlackLivesMatter.

Handicapped Hellas Verona hold out

In the other Serie A game on the first day of it’s return: 10-man Verona held on to beat Cagliari 2-1. Samuel di Carmine’s double proved enough despite Fabio Borini’s sending-off, with Giovanni Simeone getting a consolation goal.

The hosts appeared to be cruising to a win thanks to a brace from Di Carmine until the referee sent Fabio Borini off in the 35th minute for a late challenge on Marko Rog following a long VAR review. Giovanni Simeone quickly pulled one back but the visitors couldn’t find an equaliser, instead finding a red card themselves with midfielder Luca Cigarini sent off in the 70th minute.

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Double trouble as Lukaku & Lautaro bag on Inter’s return

Third place Inter Milan restarted their season with a win thanks to forward duo Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez picking up of from where they left off.

Conte’s cavalry resumed their Serie A campaign with a 2-1 victory over struggling Sampdoria, although they lived dangerously in the second half.

Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez put Inter 2-0 ahead in just over half an hour but Sampdoria, pulled one back through Morten Thorsby early in the second and finished the match threatening an equaliser.

Lukaku celebrated his goal by taking a knee in support of the Black Lives Matter movement. The former Manchester United striker sits third in the goalscoring charts, with the Belgian’s goal on the weekend taking him to 18 goals in his debut campaign in Italy.

Typical Atalanta – back like they never left

Sunday saw Sassuolo thrashed by Atalanta 4-1 as Serie A staged its first match in Bergamo – one epicentre of the coronavirus outbreak – since February 15th. The minute’s silence before the match was accompanied by a video honouring the near 35,000 people who died and a song called “Rinascero, Rinascerai” (I will be born again, you will be born again).

Then, the goals rained down: three in the first 37 minutes with two more chalked off and goalscorer Duvan Zapata also hit the bar. The Colombian added a second after the break and Atalanta also had penalty appeals waved away on a tight VAR decision; Gasperini, the Atalanta coach, was so incensed by the decision that he was sent off for dissent, making it the third red card across the Serie A restart. Bourabia made up for his own-goal however by scoring at the right end in stoppage time.

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