Aston Villa vs Leicester: Second Half Markets Worth Considering!
A trip to Wembley Stadium is one match away for one of these sides. Two Midlands clubs will to battle it out to earn a place in in this year’s EFL Cup Final against Manchester-based opposition. Aston Villa earned an impressive 1-1 draw in the 1st Leg at King Power Stadium, whilst the Foxes will look to repeat their league success at Villa Park this season.
In this repeat of the 2000 EFL Cup Semi Final, Villa will have home advantage this time and will hope to make their first Domestic Cup Final since 2015 when they lost to 4-0 to Arsenal. For the Foxes, trips to Wembley are rare despite all their success over recent years. Their only previous new Wembley visit for a Cup competition was the Community Sheild defeat against Manchester United in 2016.
In terms of the league, Leicester are flying high in the Top 4 places whilst Villa are floating with the relegation places near the foot of the Premier League table. These sides, despite recent times, could produce another close-fought result, having had a lot of single-goal margin results in the past. In fact, since 2014, four of five meetings either side has won has been by a single-goal margin. The 4-1 win for Leicester last month was the first time since 2004 that they had separated by over one goal.
Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC
Where Can I Watch?
Who? Aston Villa FC vs Leicester City FC
What? EFL Cup Semi Final Second Leg (1st Leg Result: 1-1)
Where? Villa Park, Birmingham
When? 19:45 GMT, Tuesday 28th January 2020
Watch? Sky Sports Main Event/Football
1. Half with the Most Goals – Second (Evs)
A second leg tie usually sees an increase in intensity as the game goes on. Neither side will, at least prior to kickoff, look to play extra time and seal victory via penalties. These sides will want to keep it tight early doors whilst trying to get a grip of the game in the first half. The first goal, and the timing of the first goal, could be key.
Providing one team is still within reach of coming back into the tie in the second half, and can push forward in search of goals, this market could provide great value. The game is likely to stretch, with opportunities to counter-attack and therefore lead to more chances and potentially more goals in the second half. We know how good Leicester are on the counter, however, do not discourage Villa from pouncing on the Foxes on the break.
2. Second Half Goals – Over 1.5 Goals (4/5)
11 out of the 17 goals scored in the last five meetings between these two have been in the second half. Two of those last five have been Cup competitions. Former Leicester City winger Nathan Dyer scored a memorable header against Villa in a 3-2 win during the title winning season. The Foxes were 2-0 down and turned the game around to win 3-2. The previous meeting to that saw Leandro Bacuna and Scott Sinclair seal a FA Cup Quarter Final win against Leicester in 2015, with Andrej Kramaric netting what was only a consolation goal in stoppage time for the Foxes.
3. BTTS Second Half (9/5)
The BTTS market alone does not provide much value, with many seeing both teams being able to bulge the net in the game. Four of the last seven meetings have seen Over 1.5 goals scored and once the opening goal is scored, either in the first or second half, it is all about how the other team can react. Either an attack vs defence containment tactic with the chance to counterattack or an open and stretched tactic with chances at both ends should see chances created for both teams.
4. Period Goal Betting – Goal Scored 86-90th Minute (15/8)
Three of the last 17 goals scored between these sides have come on the 89th minute or later. With this being a Cup Semi Final too, and a Final at Wembley on the line, late drama could be the what decides this tie at Villa Park. If not late drama, then chances for the winning side to extend their lead on the counterattack or the chasing team to give themselves some hope still.
Source – FlashScore
*Odds as of January 27th at 15:00 GMT and subject to change
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Featured Image – Elliott Brown