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Arsenal vs Liverpool betting tips: Will Arsenal’s huge ambition of Europe elude them with Liverpool pursuing the illustrious 100 points?


Midweek special as the Premier League Champions travel to the Emirates. With Liverpool looking to become the second team in Premier League history to achieve 100 points in a season, we preview this tie that could end Arsenal’s pursuit of Europe once and for all…

Event Details

Who is playing?

Arsenal vs Liverpool

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 36

What time is Arsenal vs Liverpool? 

20:15 BST, Wednesday 15th July 2020

Where do Arsenal play?

Emirates Stadium, London, England

Where can I watch Arsenal vs Liverpool? 

Sky Sports Premier League / Sky Sports Main Event

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Thoughts on Arsenal vs Liverpool

A classic tie in English football centering around two of the greatest, most successful clubs the country has seen, but this time around with a much distinguished flavour, with many sub-plots seemingly weaving their way through to the spotlight: the absence of supporters will be especially felt on an occasion like this, and with both teams dropping points on the weekend they’ll want to avenge their previous results – especially for Arsenal who cannot afford to drop points because if they do they can kiss goodbye their aspirations of playing Thursday night football next year.

Not to mention this is Arteta’s first game against Liverpool in his managerial career, and with him being an ex-Evertonian in his playing days as well as representing the coaching staff of Liverpool’s Premier League rivals City, is there added motivation for a victory midweek? Possibly so, but what is undeniable is that this is very much a seminal week in the career of Mikel Arteta as he faces two of the toughest teams in the entirety of the sport, back to back, meaning in a week’s time Arsenal could go from a potential Europa League finish and FA Cup trophy, to a mid-table finish and no silverware at all.

Examining these two clubs in their current circumstance their present standings completely juxtapose, these two clubs are at extremely different stages of their cycles and in many respects Arsenal as a football club are very much trying to emulate or will be wanting to emulate the journey to prosperity Liverpool have experienced in recent years and their rise to the top is one that, whilst many clubs will have to bite their tongue when admitting this, incredibly endearing and is very much the blueprint of which many clubs including Arsenal and Manchester United: fallen, sleeping giants, will want to replicate.

And so if Arsenal can manage a victory against the Premier League, Champions League and Fifa Club World Cup Champions, it could well be remembered as a seminal moment in what will we be a demanding and arduous journey back to elite status for Arsenal Football Club, and could spur a late but nonetheless frantic push for Europa League football. Liverpool, should they drop further points, after dropping hardly any before it was confirmed they were champions, no mind to Arsenal of all teams, would be a calamity in it’s own right.

Arteta’s Arsenal must respond

Not only will Arsenal be needing a response but Arteta will look for one following the defeat to North London rivals Tottenham Hotspur at the weekend. The result means not only do Arsenal’s Europa League ambitions hang on by a thread, but it has increased the pressure to perform on Wednesday.

And it doesn’t look as if the Gunner’s have much chance either having taken just two points from a possible 21 in games against the current top four. Though they can take some hope from their home form this season: losing only three times at the Emirates, 1.76 points per game (PPG), higher than their PPG overall and away from home, with the Gunners also scoring more goals per game at home: 1.82.

However they won’t want to hear that at home, their xG against (expected goals) is actually higher xG for at, 1.69 compared to 1.54, meaning they’re most susceptible to conceding a goal at home than they are to scoring a goal at home – worrying considering the Premier League Champions are next to come to town.

Although Arsenal are undefeated in twenty-one of their last twenty-three home matches against Liverpool in all competitions, with one eye presumably on their bout on Saturday against City in the FA Cup semi-finals, you feel as if Arsenal are in for a tough night at the Emirates, and the absence of their supporters will be wholly felt.

Jurgen gearing for the jugular?

It was an uncharacteristic performance for Liverpool at the weekend with an even rarer result, ironic considering what’s made the Premier League Champions Champions this season is their sometimes unexplainable willingness and desire to scrape out a victory despite the tense showing.

It was unlike Liverpool to not hit either bottom corner with a shot, it was all a bit too easy for Nick Pope on Saturday, though he did make some great saves. In fact, it was just as unusual to see Jurgen’s side unable to score a second, especially considering the Reds have scored 2.61 goals per home match this season and have an xG (expected goals) at home of 2.09, not to mention that a 2-1 scoreline in favour of Liverpool has been the most prevalent score in their Premier League season, amounting to over a quarter (25.7%) of their Premier League games with that being the end score in nine of their matches played thus far.

The Premier League Champions have only won one of their last four away league games and have failed to score in three of those. Considering the Reds must win their last three games in order to achieve the hundred point haul, plus the fact Liverpool have scored at least three goals in eight of their last nine matches against Arsenal in all competitions and are undefeated in their last ten matches against the Gunners in all competitions – you feel as if Arsenal will be put to the sword this week, it’s just a question of who can hit the hardest: Liverpool or City?

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Head-to-Head

Form

Arsenal recent matches:

  • Tottenham (a) 2-1 defeat
  • Leicester (h) 1-1 draw
  • Wolves (a) 0-2 win
  • Norwich City (h) 4-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 1-2 win

Liverpool recent matches:

  • Burnley (h) 1-1 draw
  • Brighton (a) 1-3 win
  • Aston Villa (h) 2-0 win
  • Man City (a) 4-0 defeat
  • Crystal Palace (h) 4-0 win

Top contributors

Arsenal top contributors: 

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Forward)22  Premier League goal involvements: 20 goals + 2 assists – After failing to score on the weekend, Aubameyang now trails three goals behind Jamie Vardy in the Golden Boot race.
  • Alexandre Lacazette (Forward)12  Premier League goal involvements: 9 goals + 3 assists – two goals in three games for the Frenchman including the bullet strike in the North London Derby that gave his side the lead for all of three minutes.

Liverpool top contributors: 

  • Mo Salah (Forward)28  Premier League goal involvements: 19 goals + 9 assists – The Egyptian needs just one assist to become the third Premier League player this season to achieve double figures in both goals and assists, following Kevin De Bruyne and Son Heung-min.
  • Sadio Mane (Forward): 23 Premier League goal involvements: 16 goals + 7 assists – The Senegalese superstar, who scored his first Liverpool goal on his debut, against Arsenal, has four goals and one assist in seven games against the Gunners as a Red.

Previous Meetings

30th October 2019 LIV 5-5 ARS (Pens) League cup
24th August 2019 LIV 3-1 ARS Premier League
29th December 2018 LIV 5-1 ARS Premier League
3rd November 2018 ARS 1-1 LIV Premier League
22nd December 2017 ARS 3-3 LIV Premier League

Aman’s Betting Tips

Arsenal Liverpool Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Tuesday 14th July) and subject to change.

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Aman Ahmed is an Undergraduate at UCFB University studying Football Business & Media.


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