Aston Villa vs Arsenal betting tips: Gunners too strong for relegation-threatened Villa in 18th?

The relegation survival hopes of Aston Villa could shatter as they face a resilient and confident Arsenal side at Villa Park. We preview this game that if Villa win, could see them join Watford on 34 points.

Event details

Who is playing?

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchday 37

What time is Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

20:15 GMT, Tuesday 21st July 2020

Where do Aston Villa play? 

Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Where can I watch Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Sky Sports Main Event / Sky Sports Premier League

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Thoughts on Aston Villa vs Arsenal

It’s a gigantic game for Villa, and once again their fixture list presents the cruel realities of being in the Premier League. They face a confident, resilient-looking Arsenal side in which Mikel Arteta has recently overseen surprise wins over both Liverpool and Manchester City. We have seen the Villa board back Dean Smith to see out the season, unlike their fellow strugglers Watford.

They will take on Man City at the Etihad earlier on Tuesday without Nigel Pearson so a win for Aston Villa in this one with Bournemouth already losing to Southampton would be huge. They are three points behind Watford in the last relegation spot with a worse goal difference. The psychological advantage is with the hosts if they hear that Watford have suffered a heavy defeat by City. Having gone on a dry spell for scoring goals, Smith’s men have found the back of the net in their last two and will need to continue that run against Arsenal if they want Premier League football next season.

For the Gunners, they have shown some signs of promise and potential. Characteristics we have not associated with Arsenal since the early 00s are being touted once again after two wins over Man City and Liverpool. Whether they were just reactionary performances after the disappointing defeat against rivals Spurs remains a question. This game against weaker but motivated opposition away from home is the proper test for Arteta’s men. Sat in 10th place, the Gunners are not looking to even get a Europa League spot. It has been a horrendous season, but perhaps their most important one in recent history.

A must-win for Dean Smith’s men!

It is so tight at the bottom of the table. However, Villa will take confidence because Watford have Manchester City and then Villa’s opponents Arsenal to play in their last two games. The Hornets are without a manager too, and it is difficult to say how the players will respond to that. After this match against Arsenal, Villa go to the London Stadium to face West Ham United. It is a tough task, especially as Michail Antonio and co. are in impressive form, but a winnable game. Before then however, they could go three points clear of 19th place Bournemouth who have the same points and goal difference but have played an extra game.

Aston Villa just cannot seem to keep out their opponents this season. They have kept just six clean sheets this season, just 17%, and have failed to score in 31% of their league games this season. Villa games present goals, as their 2.92 goals per game average is the fifth highest in the league. In their eight games since the restart, they have conceded goals in 75% of second halves played. They have conceded six goals between the 58th-71st minutes of their recent games.

Have the Gunners turned a corner?

It is becoming more and more apparent that Mikel Arteta seems to be the right man to take Arsenal forward. The Spaniard has been an enormous factor in Manchester City’s success under Pep Guardiola and what better than to learn from one of the best. It must be a breath of fresh air for Arsenal fans to see and hear their manager speak so honestly about what they need to compete at the top again. In what has been a lengthy and gruelling season, Arsenal are still 10th and hopes of qualifying for the Europa League now fall on a FA Cup Final win over Chelsea, the side they got humiliated by in the Europa League Final last season.

Arsenal on the road this season have been bitterly disappointing. Just four wins (22%) in away league games this season and an abundance of draws home and away rightly see the Gunners in mid-table. Aside from their last game against Liverpool, they have scored or conceded in the last 10 minutes of their games since the restart. With a huge 14 draws this season, Arsenal have joint-highest number of draws alongside Wolves. Both teams have found the net in 61% of Arsenal games, however Arteta’s men have only failed to score six times this season.

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Aston Villa recent matches:

  • Everton (a) 1-1 draw
  • Crystal Palace (h) 2-0 win
  • Man Utd (a) 3-0 defeat
  • Liverpool (a) 2-0 defeat
  • Wolves (h) 0-1 defeat

Arsenal recent matches:

  • Man City (n) 2-0 win
  • Liverpool (h) 2-1 win
  • Spurs (a) 2-1 defeat
  • Leicester (h) 1-1 draw
  • Wolves (a) 0-2 win

Top Contributors

Aston Villa top contributors:

  • Jack Grealish (Midfielder with 13 Premier League goal involvements – 7 goals + 6 assists) – This Villa side would not have a hope of staying up with a couple of games to go if it was not for the work rate, skill and goal contributions from their captain. He is crucial to the team, but has not scored since January.
  • Anwar El-Ghazi (Forward with 8 Premier League goal involvements – 4 goals + 4 assists) – The Dutch forward has operated on the wing and down the middle this season. He has not scored for Aston Villa in the Premier league since January, but all of his league goals have come at home this season.

Arsenal top contributors:

  • Pierre Emerick Aubameyang (Forward with 22 Premier League goal involvements – 20 goals + 2 assists) – The in-form striker is coming off the back of two more goals in the FA Cup Semi Final last time out and continues to show how important he is to this Arsenal side.
  • Alexandre Lacazette (Forward with 14 Premier League goal involvements – 10 goals + 4 assists) – The Frenchman has had an inconsistent season by his standards, but has scored three goals in his last five including an excellent long ranged strike against Spurs.

Previous Meetings

22nd September 2019 ARS 3-2 AVL Premier League
15th May 2016 ARS 4-0 AVL Premier League
13th December 2015 AVL 0-2 ARS Premier League
30th May 2015 ARS 4-0 AVL FA Cup
1st February 2015 ARS 5-0 AVL Premier League

Sam’s Betting Tips

Villa vs Arsenal Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Monday 20th July) and subject to change.

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Sam is an experienced content writer with a history of working in the sports industry. Sam is a media and communication professional with a bachelor's degree focused in Sports Studies.

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