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Man City vs Arsenal: Predictions, Betting Tips and Odds – Will Arteta pile more misery on his former colleague Guardiola in exciting Etihad clash? (17/10/2020)


Man City welcome an Arsenal side praying to avoid a repeat performance and scoreline from last season at the Etihad when David Luiz had a nightmare match. Tyler Edgar-Hedges previews the latest clash between Pep Guardiola and his former assistant Mikel Arteta in this Saturday evening showdown.

Event Details

Who is playing?

Manchester City vs Arsenal

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 5

What time is Man City vs Arsenal?

17:30 GMT, Saturday 17th October 2020

Which stadium is hosting Man City vs Arsenal?

Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

What channel is Man City vs Arsenal on?

Sky Sports Main Event / Premier League

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Man City vs Arsenal Summary

Arsenal have already played Liverpool three times this season and now have to face arguably the second best team in the country in their own backyard. With the home fans not being a factor, Arsenal have their best chance to break this curse they have against City in the Premier League, with City scoring at least three goals against Arsenal in the Premier League in their last five out of six meetings.

City have started slowly, but they seem to always enjoy playing Arsenal especially in recent times. Although things have changed for the Gunners, with Arteta’s new style and system seeming to have bought the best out of this Arsenal group on the attacking side of the pitch, defensively they are still struggling with only one clean sheet so far against relegation favourites Fulham. Both teams will look for a boost to their title push, everyone will look at the new signings for both teams, however the game may just be decided by how well the master (Pep) has taught his apprentice (Arteta).

Man City Team News and Form

Pep Guardiola seems to be in the hot seat right now as Man City sits 14th in the Premier League, with only four points from three games. A 3-1 win at Wolves started the season well enough, but a resounding 5-2 thrashing at home to Leicester City, and a point shared with Leeds, has left a sour taste in Man City fans. With the Champions League Group Stage mixed in with a tough month of away fixtures in the Premier League, City need a solid team performance to get anything out of this Arsenal game.

City have shown they are ready to spend big to fill the gaps this year’s team desperately needs filling, with the £65 million signing of Ruben Dias from Benfica, who joins £40 million Nathan Ake as a new partnership for City. However, City have not strengthened in the striker position, which seems to be a massive blow to the Citizens title chances.

With Aguero and Jesus out with knee and muscle injuries respectively, City’s only recognised striker is 17-year-old Liam Delap, who has been backed by Guardiola as a “Great finisher” in interviews. Gundogan is still out with lack of match fitness and De Bruyne was taken off early against England in the Nations League with a knock but should be fit to play.

Arsenal Team News and Form

The Gunners currently sitting in fourth, behind Leicester and Aston Villa on goal difference are looking to keep up their solid start as Arteta’s reign is picking up speed. With Leicester and Manchester United to come next in the Premier League, the North London outlet will look to keep the pressure on their London rivals Spurs and Chelsea with at least a hard fought point at the Etihad.

Thomas Partey seems to be the name on all Arsenal fans’ lips at the moment, with the £45 million rated midfielder joining the club on 5th October. Showing Arsenal are hungry to build a title challenger and not just to finish 4th as the club has been synonymous for some time. Partey will add some much needed experience and discipline to a sometimes wavering Arsenal midfield, which will be necessary if they are to challenge for top 4 this season.

With injuries, Arsenal have had much better luck compared to the Citizens. With most of the side’s regular rotation side fully fit, Martinelli is the major injury with his knee injury side-lining him until the end of December. Kieran Tierney is also out because of illness and will be missed at the back for Arsenal against a very attack savvy team like City.

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Head-to-Head

Man City Last Five Matches (All competitions)

  • Leeds United (A) 1-1 Premier League draw
  • Burnley (A) 0-3 EFL Cup win
  • Leicester City (H) 2-5 Premier League defeat
  • Bournemouth (H) 2-1 EFL Cup win
  • Wolves (A) 1-3 Premier League win

Arsenal Last Five Matches (All competitions)

  • Sheffield United (H) 2-1 Premier League win
  • Liverpool (A) o-o (p) 4-5 EFL Cup win
  • Liverpool (A) 3-1 Premier League loss
  • Leicester (A) 0-2 EFL Cup win
  • West Ham (H) 2-1 Premier League win

Source: FootyStats

Top Goalscorers

Man City Top Goalscorers

  • Kevin De Bruyne (1 Premier League goals this season) – The current PFA Players’ Player of the Year was at his “World-Class” best last season with 13 goals and a massive 20 assist in just 35 games. A slow start for City has led to a slow start for De Bruyne. Without a recognised striker, De Bruyne has only scored and assisted both once to start the season.
  • Riyad Mahrez (1 Premier League goals this season) – The Algerian international had 20 goal contributions last season, even as an inconsistent starter for Pep Guardiola. With Aguero and Jesus out with injuries, Pep seems to try different players in a false nine that Messi made famous during Guardiola’s time at Barcelona, with Mahrez being the favoured choice in this position.

Arsenal Top Goalscorers

  • Alexandre Lacazette (3 Premier League goals this season) – The experienced Frenchman has been enjoying a good run of form since getting regular starts under Arteta. Mainly deployed as the central striking option in a three-man attack, Lacazette’s finishing and positioning ability has on display so far this season. However, his ability to bounce back from missed chances has been questioned throughout his time at Arsenal.
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (1 Premier League goal this season) – Aubameyang has been in the running for top-goalscorer ever since he stepped foot in the Premier League. Whether he is played centrally or on the left, his blistering pace and immense physicality provides every Premier League defence with a laborious task when coming up against him.

Source: Transfermarkt

Match Facts

  • Man City have scored at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 games in all competitions.
  • Arsenal have only lost once so far this season in all competitions, 2-1 against Liverpool at Anfield. 
  • City’s £105 million spending spree on two new centre-backs has yet to have the desired effect on the teams defensive ability, with Man City conceding seven goals in their first three Premier League games.
  • Arsenal have managed eight goals in four games so far in this Premier League season.

Source: WhoScored

Previous Meetings

18th July 2020 ARS 2-0 MCI FA Cup
17th June 2020 MCI 3-0 ARS Premier League
15th December 2019 ARS 0-3 MCI Premier League
3rd February 2019 MCI 3-1 ARS Premier League
12th August 2018 ARS 0-2 MCI Premier League

Tyler’s Betting Tips

Both teams are currently averaging two-goals-a-game so far this season, while also conceding an average of just under two-goals-a-game in the Premier League. Over 2.5 goals in the game is 4/9* with Mark Jarvis.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored 37.5% of Arsenal’s Premier League goals last season, with this season looking no different in that regard. A combination of Arteta’s attacking style of football and Man City’s injury problems puts Aubameyang in a prominent position to net. Aubameyang to score anytime in the game is a great value bet at 6/4* with Mark Jarvis.

Man City haven’t lost to Arsenal in the Premier League since a 2-1 loss at the Emirates back in 2015. They also love playing Arsenal, especially at home, as they’ve slotted three times in each of the last three home games against Arsenal. Manchester City to win by two or more goals is 16/5* with Mark Jarvis.

Man City Arsenal Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Wednesday 14th October 2020) are subject to change.

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