Newcastle United St James's Park

Newcastle vs Burnley: Predictions, Betting Tips and Odds – Can the Magpies continue their solid start with a win against the Clarets? (03/10/20)

Newcastle United will look to build on their strong start to their Premier League campaign with a win against a plucky Burnley side, who remain in the drop-zone after a slow start to proceedings. Will Lancaster previews this fixture alongside giving his betting tips for Saturday nights’ clash.

Event Details

Who is playing?

Newcastle United vs Burnley

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 4

What time is Newcastle United vs Burnley?

20:00 GMT, Saturday 3rd October 2020

Which stadium is hosting Newcastle United vs Burnley?

St James’ Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England

What channel is Newcastle United vs Burnley on?

Sky Sports Main Event

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Newcastle United vs Burnley Summary

Despite another summer filled with financial hope for Newcastle, they started the season with Mike Ashley in the boardroom yet again after the FA blocked a proposed takeover. Although this season, things are looking up. The astute signings of free agents Jeff Hendrick and Ryan Fraser, alongside the £35m double deal for the clinical Callum Wilson and youthful Jamal Lewis has instilled belief into the Magpies’ faithful.

Burnley however, have started the season horrifically – an injury ravaged squad and star players being linked with moves to bigger clubs has seen poor results on the pitch. And, with limited funds, Clarets’ gaffer Sean Dyche has made his concerns public in order to persuade owner Mike Garlick to sign players, however nothing has come to fruition yet.

Newcastle United Team News and Form

On the pitch, the ‘Geordies’ are performing well. After defeating Newport County on Wednesday – and subsequently booking their quarter-final spot in the Carabao Cup for the first time since 2017 – there is an instilled sense of belief at St’ James Park to improve upon last terms’ measly 13th-placed finish.

After collecting just 44 points last season, the club have spent wisely improved in terms of their attacking options. Last season’s marquee signing Joelinton flopped with just 2 goals in 38 games; for comparison, his replacement Callum Wilson has scored the same amount in just 3 games this season, and the results are showing. 

The club may have a problem in the right-back area as DeAndre Yedlin and Emil Krafth have both picked up knocks in the last week, however Javier Manquillo is expected to start again. Star man Allan Saint-Maximin is also a doubt for the weekend, whilst Matt Ritchie is out with a long-term injury.

Burnley Team News and Form

Following a brilliant 10th placed finish for Burnley last season, a COVID-19 impacted summer has drastically changed the Clarets’ outlook on the new season. With no money for new signings and an injury crisis, the club has had to rely on just 14 first-team players to achieve results; which is incomprehensible in the Premier League.

Following a 4-2 loss at high-scoring Leicester City, fans were hoping for an upturn in form against relegation-threatened Southampton; but they fell short in an uninspiring 1-0 home defeat, followed by a bleak 3-0 home loss at home to a strong Manchester City side in midweek. Striker Chris Wood is Burnley’s star attacking outlet, and the Kiwi will look to better his tally of 14 goals in just 29 league starts last year.

A depleted squad means Burnley may struggle once again this weekend; Jack Cork, Ben Mee, Johann Berg Gudmundsson, Jay Rodriguez and Robbie Brady are all injured, whilst Matt Lowton picked up an injury against Manchester City in midweek. However, star defender James Tarkowski is likely to return, whilst I expect Ashley Barnes to make the bench.

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Newcastle United Last Five Matches (All Competitions)

  • Newport County (A) 1-1 (4-5) EFL Cup win
  • Tottenham Hotspur (A) 1-1 Premier League draw
  • Morecambe (A) 0-7 EFL Cup win
  • Brighton and Hove Albion (H) 0-3 Premier League win
  • Blackburn Rovers (H) 1-0 EFL Cup win

Burnley Last Five Matches (All Competitions)

  • Manchester City (H) 0-3 EFL Cup defeat
  • Southampton (H) 0-1 Premier League defeat
  • Millwall (A) 0-2 EFL Cup win
  • Leicester City (A) 4-2 Premier League defeat
  • Sheffield United (H) 1-1 (5-4) EFL Cup win

Newcastle United Top Goalscorers

  • Callum Wilson (8 Premier League goals in 2019/20 for Bournemouth, 2 goals in 2020/21 for Newcastle United) – The pacy hitman will be looking to feed off the service of Miguel Almiron this season for the Magpies.
  • Jonjo Shelvey (6 Premier League goals in 2019/20) – The maestro of Newcastle United’s midfield will be looking to contribute some more long-range goals this season.

Burnley Top Goalscorers

  • Chris Wood (14 Premier League goals in 2019/20 + 1 in 2020/21) – The New Zealand international will look to get on the end of Dwight McNeil’s crossing to notch up his tally for the campaign
  • Ashley Barnes (6 Premier League goals in 2019/20) – The fiery striker will look to get off the mark with his first goal of the season. After a long injury layoff, Barnes started in the game midweek against Manchester City in the EFL Cup, giving Sean Dyche some much needed options to choose from.

Previous Meetings

29th February 2020 NEW 0-0 BUR Premier League
14th December 2019 BUR 1-0 NEW Premier League
26th February 2019 NEW 2-0 BUR Premier League
26th November 2018 BUR 1-2 NEW Premier League
31st January 2017 NEW 1-1 BUR Premier League

Will’s Betting Tips

The last three meetings in the Toon have seen under 2.5 goals each time, and four of the last five meetings have as well. Despite the goal frenzies in the Premier League at the minute, both teams will find it tough. Under 2.5 goals is 4/7* with Mark Jarvis.

A depleted Burnley squad, alongside a poor record at St James’ gives Newcastle the upper hand. Get Newcastle to win is 6/4* with Mark Jarvis.

My longshot bet – Burnley have made a habit of conceding to quick wide men this season, in particular against Leicester and Manchester City. Newcastle will look to exploit this and will play out wide resulting in corners; they had seven corners in both games vs West Ham and Brighton. Allan Saint-Maximin to score anytime and over 6.5 corners for Newcastle is 12/1* with Mark Jarvis.

Newcastle Burnley Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Wednesday 30th September 2020) are subject to change.

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