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Spurs vs Arsenal betting tips: Has the epic North London Derby ever been so mediocre?

Super Sunday as Spurs host Arsenal at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the North London derby. We preview this tie that has a lot more riding on it than just bragging rights…

Event Details

Who is playing?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

What competition is it?

Premier League Matchweek 35

What time is Spurs vs Arsenal? 

16:30 BST, Sunday 12th July 2020.

Where do Spurs play?

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Tottenham, London.

Where can I watch Spurs vs Arsenal? 

Sky Sports PL / Sky Sports Main Event

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Thoughts on Spurs vs Arsenal

2020 has thrown many, many surprises, but have we finally found a situation where Arsenal fans could get St Totteringham’s day, but they’ll be too embarrassed to celebrate it?

They have played 34 games in the 2019/20 Premier League season and North London occupy the bottom area of the top half of the table, with Arsenal sitting 8th on 50 points, and Tottenham below in 9th one point behind.

Astonishing, especially since just a year ago North London were headlining Europe; Arsenal in their first ever Europa league final and Tottenham going one better appearing in their first ever Champions League final. Though neither half of North London walked away with silverware back then, it still symbolised their ability to compete amongst the elite, ironic considering, with no disrespect to Wolves and Sheffield United whose campaigns this season have been an inspiration and one in which both North London clubs should take a lot from, the teams who North London are at risk of losing the Europa spots to, both occupied the 2nd tier of England just two seasons ago.

They’ll banter each other ’til the end of time but the reality is, it’s been a horror show this season north of the river, with under-performing the only consistence in either club’s season. And that sets us up beautifully for Sunday, a super Sunday North London derby where both team’s seasons rest on this one fixture. Make or break.

Stunningly scandalous Spurs

My job here is to place words of the English language in such a way that they then form sentences, sentences which best describe the situation I’m attempting to explain, to give you, the reader, the ability to paint a picture and draw your own conclusions. And yet, there are no amount of words I could conjure that will better epitomise the lack of soul and wretched negativity that engulfs the Spurs squad, more, than the damning statistic that Tottenham have had fewer shots on target in July than West Ham’s defensive midfielder Tomas Soucek, in fact: Soucek was also Spurs’ joint-top scorer in June.

They’re in dire need of a much-needed lift, and lucky enough for Spurs there is no better place to make your mark and avenge what has been an awful season, than at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium against bitter rivals, Arsenal. Since the restart, Spurs have only lost once in a shock defeat to Sheffield United. Aside from that game, all of their other matches have seen Under 2.5 goals scored. However, their last outing against Bournemouth, a side in disarray, exposed a lot of what is wrong about that squad.

The visitors recorded 0 shots on target and were lucky to walk away with a point. They have won just 38% of their league games this season, and nearly two out of three matches have featured BTTS (65%).

Arsenal in ascendance? 

Credit where credit is due, when Arsenal chucked away two points at The AMEX courtesy of Neal Maupay and the Seagulls, you could hear the unison chuckle of ‘same old Arsenal’. But the Gunners have picked up ten points out of twelve and have consequently kept their European ambitions alive.

Arsenal, who’ll be without Eddie Nketiah following the failed red card appeal, will have to be on song if they want beat their rivals and will have to show a resilience in their performance that for far too long has a stick to beat the club with. A lack of ‘cojones’ as one Troy Deeney eloquently put, but nonetheless true, as you can bet your life savings Jose Mourinho will relish the role as the antagonist and will set his team up to defend with bodies behind the ball, looking to counter.

And with that comes added pressure and means Arsenal will have to perform so they could not do this season – the statistics are disturbing: their xG (expected goals) against, 1.76, is higher than their xG for (1.37), in fact the Gunners have averaged more shots off target per match this season than they have on target, 6.15 compared to 4.76, and what’s even less encouraging, is that in the fourteen games they’ve played against the teams currently 9th and above, they’ve only won twice. They must bring the game to the opposition, whether they can (and it looks like they can’t), we must wait and find out.

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Spurs recent matches:

  • Bournemouth (a) 0-0 draw
  • Everton (h) 1-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 3-1 defeat
  • West Ham (h) 2-0 win
  • Manchester United (h) 1-1 draw

Arsenal recent matches:

  • Leicester (h) 1-1 draw
  • Wolves (a) 0-2 win
  • Norwich City (h) 4-0 win
  • Sheffield United (a) 1-2 win
  • Southampton (a) 0-2 win

Top contributors

Spurs top contributors: 

  • Son Heung-min (Midfielder): 18 Premier League goal involvements: 9 goals + 9 assists –The South Korean hasn’t been able to score since the restart but has provided two assists, with one coming against London rivals West Ham and the other against the Blades in Sheffield United’s 3-1 victory.
  • Harry Kane (Forward): 15 Premier League goal involvements: 13 goals + 2 assists – the Englishman hasn’t been able to hit the same heights compared to previous campaigns, in fact, worryingly both his shots per 90, at 2.82, and xG (expected goals) per 90 at 0.42, are the lowest they’ve been since 2014/15.

Arsenal top contributors: 

  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Forward): 22 Premier League goal involvements: 20 goals + 2 assists – Arsenal’s talisman is in contention to win a successive Premier League Golden Boot sitting 2nd in the top scorer’s list, two goals behind Jamie Vardy. The former Dortmund striker is the first Arsenal player to score 20+ Premier League goals in consecutive seasons since Thierry Henry in 2005/06.
  • Nicolas Pepe (Midfielder): 11 Premier League goal involvements: 5 goals + 6 assists – a debut campaign which has underwhelmed many considering his impressive return of 33 goals involvements for Lille last year, though in double the minutes.

Previous Meetings

1st September 2019  ARS 2-2 TOT Premier League
2nd March 2019 TOT 1-1 ARS Premier League
19th December 2018 ARS 0-2 TOT League Cup
2nd December 2018 ARS 4-2 TOT Premier League
10th February 2018 TOT 1-0 ARS Premier League

Aman’s Betting Tip

Spurs Arsenal Betting Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Friday 10th July) and subject to change.

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Aman Ahmed is an Undergraduate at UCFB University studying Football Business & Media.

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