Juventus Allianz Stadium Fans

Juventus vs Lazio betting tips: Old Lady to move 8 points clear of second and closer to a 9th successive Scudetto?


Monday’s marvel takes place at the Allianz Stadium as front runners Juventus host Lazio. We preview this tie that could see the Old Lady eight points clear at the top of the Serie A table… 

Event Details

Who is playing?

Juventus vs Lazio

What competition is it?

Serie A Matchweek 34

What time is Juventus vs Lazio? 

20:45 BST, Monday 20th July 2020

Where do Juventus play?

Allianz Stadium, Turin, Italy

Where can I watch Juventus vs Lazio? 

Premier Sports

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Thoughts on Juventus vs Lazio

With a potent pride we boast the sport incessantly as being, ‘beautiful’, the customary line: ‘the beautiful game’ accompanied with a beaming smile. The sport of football has a way of cultivating such emotion, flip flopping and spiralling between immense highs and the most crestfallen of lows, and there is no situation that better conveys the emotional tug-of-war borne out of the sport, than Lazio’s.

Sometimes, this game can be horrid and cruel: it was only a month ago that this fixture was expected to be a title decider in what had been a tantalisingly close race in Serie A. Just a month ago, Juve’s ninth successive title defence looked seriously in doubt, with it being just one point that separated the Champions and the challengers.

Fast forward to now and it almost feels as if it was all for nothing, with the Old Lady strolling to another comfortable victory with the gap now five points, with potential to turn into eight. A season that promised so much for Lazio, but one that ends with the all too familiar outcome of Juventus as the winners, with their monopoly on the Serie A intact for yet another year.

Home is where the heart is

With four games to go the Old Lady are sitting pretty at the top of the table, five points clear of 2nd place Inter Milan, and should they win today they’ll extend the gap further and go one step closer to becoming the first team in history to win nine consecutive titles in one of Europe’s top five leagues.

Even more upsetting for Lazio is that though they’ve dramatically fallen off since the restart, it’s not as if Juventus have been flawless either: in the three games since July 4th, Juventus haven’t picked up a victory and have conceded at least two goals in their last three matches, with the Old Lady deservedly losing to Milan 4-2, and shamefully surviving in their subsequent matches against Atalanta and Sassuolo, games they should have lost but somehow ended up drawing. Maybe it’s this difference of luck and mentality that’s fended off a title charge from other competitors…

Their form in their last three games has left a lot to be desired, but will surely be corrected come Monday, considering the magnitude in which the Allianz Stadium has become a fortress this season in Serie A. The Old Lady have been imperious at home, undefeated in the sixteen league games played there this season, drawing just twice: picking up 2.75 points per game and scoring 2.56 goals per game, boasting an xG for and against of 2.38 and 1.20 respectively.

Sarri’s side have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their games at home and have scored at least two in their last ten home matches, and with Lazio the way they currently are, it’s hard to fathom an outcome in which the Eagles won’t become yet another victim to the superiority of Juventus at home this season.

Couldn’t keep up the pace…  

A month ago when Serie A football was being re-introduced into our sporting calendar we previewed Lazio’s bout against Atalanta in what would be their first game of the restart. The then ‘title challengers’ were conceding just 0.88 goals a game and had the best defensive record in the league, having let in 23 in total; in fact with striker Ciro Immobile leading goal scoring charts with 27 strikes, the Eagles were the second highest scoring team in the division with 60.

Seven games have passed and Lazio have switched stance from outright contenders to mere spectators: winning just two games since the resumption picking up seven of a possible twenty-one points, registering just one clean sheet in the meantime, conceding twelve times.

Their goals against per game has increased to 1.06 with their xG against at 1.47, (expected goals), and the once resolute Eagles now share the crown of best defence alongside the Champions, and are fourth in the pecking order in terms of goals moving from 2nd in the division on 60, to behind Atalanta, Inter and Juve, on 68 – with Ciro Immobile increasing his tally by a paltry two goals in the same time frame.

Simone Inzaghi will hope that this wretched vein of form can help spur his Lazio squad into finishing the season strong, to not completely tarnish a season that otherwise promised so much more.

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Head-to-Head

Form

Juventus recent matches:

  • Sassuolo (a) 3-3 draw
  • Atalanta (h) 2-2 draw
  • Milan (a) 4-2 defeat
  • Torino (h) 4-1 win
  • Genoa (a) 1-3 win

Lazio recent matches:

  • Udinese (a) 0-0 draw
  • Sassuolo (a) 1-2 defeat
  • Lecce (a) 2-1 defeat
  • Milan (a) 0-3 defeat
  • Torino (a) 1-2 win

Top contributors

Juventus top contributors: 

  • Cristiano Ronaldo (Forward): 33 Serie A involvements:  28 goals + 5 assists – No player in Europe’s top five leagues has scored more penalties this season than Cristiano Ronaldo, 11/11. Faultless finishing.
  • Paulo Dybala (Forward): 16 Serie A involvements: 11 goals + 5 assists – Despite starting the restart in fine fettle, Dybala has just four games remaining to add two goal involvements to beat his second worst return in the league as a Juventus player.

Lazio top contributors: 

  • Ciro Immobile (Forward): 37 Serie A goal involvements: 29 goals + 8 assists – the former Dortmund striker is on course to win his third Capocannoniere (Serie A top goal scorer award), but has only scored twice since the restart, worrying that Ronaldo, one goal behind, has scored seven goals since the league’s resumption.
  • Luis Alberto (Midfielder)20 Serie A goal involvements: 6 goals + 14 assists – the former Liverpool midfielder has surrendered his crown as Serie A’s top assist maker, failing to register an assist in his last four appearances, subsequently allowing Atalanta’s Alejandro Gomez to infiltrate with the Argentine’s six assists since the restart propelling him as joint-top assists provider alongside Alberto.

Previous Meetings

22nd December 2019 JUV 1-3 LAZ Supercoppa
7th December 2019 LAZ 3-1 JUV Serie A
27th January 2019  LAZ 1-2 JUV Serie A
25th August 2018 JUV 2-0 LAZ Serie A
3rd March 2018 LAZ 0-1 JUV Serie A

Aman’s Betting Tips

Juve Lazio Tips

*Odds as of the time of writing (Monday 20th July) and subject to change.

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Image Credit

Aman Ahmed is an Undergraduate at UCFB University studying Football Business & Media.


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